Avalanche rebounds 25% in five days as AVAX price tests key level — big rally ahead?

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Crypto market correlation and Valkyrie’s Avalanche fund launch also helped push AVAX to a weekly high.

Avalanche (AVAX) has rebounded strongly five days after testing a key inflection area as its support. Now, the AVAX/USD pair faces the possibility of continuing its upside retracement move further into Q2.

A 30%-plus move ahead?

AVAX’s price surged to almost $69.50 on May 5 from nearly $55 on April 30, a 25% jump.

Interestingly, AVAX’s rebound move surfaced inside the same support area ($54-60 range) that had preceded a 100% and a 175% price rally in the January 2022-April 2022 and the October 2021-November 2021 session, respectively.

AVAX/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

Additionally, the lower trendline of the AVAX’s prevailing descending channel pattern (possibly a “bull flag”) served as support. That raised the Avalanche token’s potential to extend its rebound move towards the channel’s upper trendline near $90, up almost 35% from today’s price.

Valkyrie launches AVAX fund

AVAX’s price rally also coincided with similar upside moves elsewhere in the crypto market, in part due to Federal Reserve’s announcement on May 4 to hike interest rates by 0.5% against the widely-anticipated 0.75%.

AVAX is up by about 20% when measured from its May 4’s lows near $59. Interestingly, its gains turned out to be higher than its top rivaling assets, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Polkadot (DOT). That could be due to Valkyrie.

The Tennessee-based crypto investment firm announced on May 4 that it is launching an Avalanche Trust (VAVAX) for accredited investors. It set the minimum investment at $25,000 and, according to sources, has already attracted $25 million to its vaults.

The launch comes after Avalanche saw uptrends in key metrics, including usage and revenue generation.

In detail, the network’s average daily transactions nearly doubled in Q1/2022 (+82.8%) compared to the previous quarter, while its total income grew by 72.7% in the same timeframe, reports Messari researcher James Trautman.

Avalanche network value and cumulative revenue during Q1. Source: Messari

The analyst further highlighted that Avalanche’s revenue growth could put “upward pressures” on AVAX’s market value, given its proof-of-stake network burns 100% of fees (derived in AVAX), and thus lowers the total supply in circulation. 

Related: The birth of ‘Ethereum killers’: Can they take Ethereum’s throne?

“This drives value to all token holders through increased scarcity rather than compounding the balances of validators and delegators,” Trautman wrote, adding:

“The question is just how statistically significant the spread between revenue and market value is […] As fundamental value (as opposed to speculative value) becomes a more substantial part of market value, a strong correlation between revenue and market value should theoretically exist.”

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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