Bitcoin is looking ripe for a trip to its lowest levels since March, say market participants, with BTC price action staying below $26,000.
Bitcoin (BTC) circled $25,800 on June 6 as the aftermath of fresh panic over largest exchange Binance lingered.
BTC price risks losing multi-month range
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed BTC/USD as it steadied after dropping to near three-month lows.
The weakness came as part of a knee-jerk market reaction to news that United States regulators were suing Binance and its CEO, Changpeng Zhao, also known as CZ, over “a variety of securities law violations.”
“Through thirteen charges, we allege that Zhao and Binance entities engaged in an extensive web of deception, conflicts of interest, lack of disclosure, and calculated evasion of the law,” SEC Chair Gary Gensler stated in part of a press release.
Wonder if he ever reads the comments under his post, from the consumers he is suppose to protect. https://t.co/xQjC872GsD
— CZ Binance (@cz_binance) June 5, 2023
While sparks continued to fly between the exchange and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) — even on social media — Bitcoin traders looked to what a recovery might look like.
Popular trader Crypto Ed considered $26,200 as a bounce target before fresh downside kicked in thanks to a lack of spot buyer demand.
“I think we’re pretty close to a bounce, but could be a short-term bounce,” he summarized in a dedicated YouTube market update following the Binance news.
Crypto Ed added that his downside target lay at or just above the $24,000 mark.
Fellow trader Crypto Tony agreed, sharing a similar mid-term roadmap for BTC price.
“Shed some more profit on my short this morning, but now looking for a relief wave before the final leg down towards $24,500,” he told Twitter followers.
“I anticipate this is the final leg down before we accumulate for pump to come July / August.”
On the day, trading suite Decentrader warned over a high long/short ratio on Bitcoin, this even beating levels seen after the implosion of exchange FTX in November 2022.
“We would typically like to see this start to decrease, if we are to keep bouncing,” it argued in part of Twitter commentary.
#Bitcoin's Long/Short ratio is now extremely high, higher than during the FTX collapse.
We would typically like to see this start to decrease, if we are to keep bouncing. https://t.co/TBohV62y6O pic.twitter.com/2kSxndd9QV
— Decentrader (@decentrader) June 6, 2023
Risk assets already “on edge”
Others looked beyond the Binance story to call for the broader risk asset environment to improve in the coming months.
Related: ‘$31K was not the end’ — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week
Among them was Arthur Hayes, former CEO of derivatives exchange BitMEX, who in a reaction suggested that sub-par crypto performance was tied directly to activity within the U.S. economy.
The Treasury General Account (TGA) was increasing, he noted, repeating an existing theory about what would happen to crypto prices for the rest of 2023.
“The market is down on some binance FUD. But regardless of the catalyst, risk mrkts r on edge cause of the TGA refill,” he wrote in part of a Twitter post.
“By end of summer the mrkt will move past that and onto the lg amt of money printing humming along in the background.”
According to monitoring resource CoinGlass, crypto long traders saw liquidations, which totaled just shy of $300 million on June 5.
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This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.